Comments on: Can We Doubt Paul Existed? https://www.richardcarrier.info/archives/37123 Announcing appearances, publications, and analysis of questions historical, philosophical, and political by author, philosopher, and historian Richard Carrier. Tue, 14 Jul 2026 21:14:06 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=7.1 By: Richard Carrier https://www.richardcarrier.info/archives/37123#comment-44640 Tue, 14 Jul 2026 21:14:06 +0000 https://www.richardcarrier.info/?p=37123#comment-44640 In reply to Nope.

You might be interested then in my commentary on why CE/BCE is stupid.

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By: Nope https://www.richardcarrier.info/archives/37123#comment-44638 Tue, 14 Jul 2026 19:26:46 +0000 https://www.richardcarrier.info/?p=37123#comment-44638 I appreciate your work so much and have both viewed and recommended your YouTube talks on the supposed writings of the apostles and Jesus. Thanks so much for that!😊💕

As an historian and a person of science, I do find it odd that you use AD instead of CE… especially since you wrote a book about how Jesus never existed haha.

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By: Richard Carrier https://www.richardcarrier.info/archives/37123#comment-41550 Mon, 01 Sep 2025 15:41:49 +0000 https://www.richardcarrier.info/?p=37123#comment-41550 In reply to Ŕussell Dowsett.

Russell, I think Josen chose 1 Samuel 9:21 and 1 Samuel 15:17 because they establish the pun “small/tiny” and Paulus means small/tiny. The rest (like the pursuer/persecutor mimesis) then inspires Luke’s build-out of his story. Livesey’s thesis is that Paul was invented from this (as also the legend of his being a persecutor), but she says this might be prior to Marcion (she is noncommittal but proposes Acts could predate him and every Gospel). The mainstream thesis is that Acts either invented the Saul name connection because of the useful fit with describing an already-established persecutor using the 1 Samuel narrative that then allowed (i.e., the order of causation is the other way around), or that Paul (as praenomen) coincidentally having the name Saul (as cognomen) and being a persecutor gravitated Luke to the 1 Samuel story to build-out his myth from (i.e., the order of causation is the other way around but inspired by an existing coincidence).

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By: Ŕussell Dowsett https://www.richardcarrier.info/archives/37123#comment-41546 Mon, 01 Sep 2025 01:27:19 +0000 https://www.richardcarrier.info/?p=37123#comment-41546 In reply to josenrael.

1 Samuel 26:18 Saul why does thou pursue me?

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By: Richard Carrier https://www.richardcarrier.info/archives/37123#comment-41545 Sun, 31 Aug 2025 17:51:15 +0000 https://www.richardcarrier.info/?p=37123#comment-41545 In reply to M. Elliott.

It’s crank apologetics.

I have an exposé ready to publish on this next week so stay tuned.

But for a sneak peak, see my comments where it would have been most apt to ask this question: under my article Josephus on Jesus? Why You Can’t Cite Opinions Before 2014 (in future you can use the search box on my blog or the category dropdown menu to find a suitable article for asking any question).

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By: M. Elliott https://www.richardcarrier.info/archives/37123#comment-41544 Sun, 31 Aug 2025 15:41:03 +0000 https://www.richardcarrier.info/?p=37123#comment-41544 Subject: Question Regarding Josephus and Jesus

Hello Dr. Carrier,

I follow your work with great interest. I have recently finished watching a virtual lecture you gave for the library in Bangor, Maine last year.

Please forgive me that this comment isn’t directly related to the article—I did find it both informative and highly relevant to the research I’ve been doing on the historicity of Paul—but I wasn’t sure where else I could post a general question.

What is your opinion on Dr. T.C. Schmidt’s recent assertion that the passage on Jesus by Josephus was, in fact, not doctored or altered? Does this change its value as evidence for the historicity of Jesus in any way?

Thank you for your time and your important contributions to historical scholarship.

Respectfully,
M. Elliott

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By: Richard Carrier https://www.richardcarrier.info/archives/37123#comment-41476 Tue, 19 Aug 2025 16:12:07 +0000 https://www.richardcarrier.info/?p=37123#comment-41476 In reply to josenrael.

I think you misunderstand my point.

You may be falling victim to a multiple comparisons fallacy here.

When the author of Acts wanted to spin narratives about Paul, he searched around across all his source texts (like the OT and apocrypha), and landed on the ones he found most useful. “Oh, look, I can use this Saul narrative as a framework, all I have to do is claim Paul was named Saul!” or “I know Paul’s praenomen was Saul, oh look, I can use the ancient Saul story to frame my narrative about Paul!” are both plausible (indeed routine) ways authors composed texts.

So we cannot tell the order of causation here. Livesey wants it to be “Luke invented Paul, and decided to also name him Saul (why have his name Paul then?), because he found that useful narratively (even though the letters don’t exist yet so there is no basis for believing Paul was a persecutor).” That’s bad reasoning. The rest of us conclude Acts is reacting to Marcion and thus the letters, and so more likely “Luke invented the additional name Saul because he could use it to spin a particular narrative about the persecutor” or “Luke knew (from some source lost to us) that Paul really was also already named Sail, so he made up a fake story about being ‘renamed’ from Saul to Paul, because the name just happened to connect to something useful for Luke in the OT.”

The multiple comparisons fallacy is to forget that the author has thousands of options to work with, so the probability that he will find one convenient one is ~100% not 1 in 1000. Thus we cannot tell from the data whether Luke invented the name Paul or Saul or any of this except the narrative he spins by connecting Paul to the ancient Saul, but the latter can be because of inherited data that made that an obvious choice, so we cannot know that it is because Luke invented all of it. So there is no way to get to the latter conclusion here. It stays merely “possible” (and worse, because it runs into weird problems, as the theory then depends on the prior existence of evidence that, ex hypothesi, did not exist then, complicating Livesey’s order of events).

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By: josenrael https://www.richardcarrier.info/archives/37123#comment-41475 Tue, 19 Aug 2025 15:46:57 +0000 https://www.richardcarrier.info/?p=37123#comment-41475 In reply to Richard Carrier.

Excuse me if I return on this point. You say: That’s great for explaining why Acts connects the name Saul to Paul. but we all know (and agree about) the real and only reason Acts connects the name Saul with Paul: because king Saul was a persecutor of the Messiah and Acts wants to make Saul/Paul a persecutor of the Christians. There is none other reason. Hence it is a false implication the idea that the reference to ‘little’ twice in 1 Samuel (in reference to king Saul) dictated the choice of the king Saul as a midrashical source for Paul. The persecution motif dictated the choice. I derive the conclusion that, according to your view (assuming a historical Paul), the presence of ‘little’ twice in 1 Samuel in reference to king Saul is a mere, fortuite coincidence. But it ceases to be a coincidence if Acts preceded the “letters” as per Livesey’s theory. Isn’t therefore this evidence more expected on Livesey’s theory than on your traditional view ?

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By: Richard Carrier https://www.richardcarrier.info/archives/37123#comment-41435 Fri, 15 Aug 2025 20:12:23 +0000 https://www.richardcarrier.info/?p=37123#comment-41435 In reply to JD.

Indeed. Both conspiracy theories exist. Both are ridiculous crankery. And both have origins in Nazi ideology (2 directly; 1 indirectly).

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By: JD https://www.richardcarrier.info/archives/37123#comment-41410 Wed, 13 Aug 2025 22:23:50 +0000 https://www.richardcarrier.info/?p=37123#comment-41410 I’m thoroughly enjoying this Paul series. Just brilliantly put together and explained, and I never fail to learn something new.

The timing is interesting as well, because for the past 6 months or so, I’ve seen more talk (layperson, online forums, etc) of Paul as Conspiracy. Interestingly enough, it has manifested in two distinct versions:

1) Paul was an invention of the Romans to pacify both Jews and Christians into a more easily controlled populace through a nonviolent “future kingdom” religion. He didn’t exist, but was created to steer the growing cults away from active revolution, and toward passive waiting.

… the other has a bit of an antisemitic tilt

2) Paul was either — a) an agent of, or b) a fictive creation of — the Jewish elite/priesthood used to hi-jack the teachings of Jesus/the Good Teacher/Christians, in order to subvert and control the growing Gentile/Goyim church, thereby controlling Rome and its reaches with a desire for global control. (Which seems an odd conclusion, because creating the Pauline-Christian church would be the single largest backfire against Jews in history seeing that it gave the Jews nearly 2 millennia of antisemitism, persecution, and discrimination).

I didn’t realize that anyone had recently taken an academic interest in the ahistorical hypothesis of Paul. I haven’t read Livesey’s work yet, but your explanations and rebuttals are incredibly insightful and interesting. Many thanks for taking the time to hash these things out for us.

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