It’s generally not worth the bother of engaging the anti-vaxx movement. In my personal experience, it is awash with lies, manipulative rhetoric, bad logic, and implausible conspiracy theories (which, as with all implausible conspiracy theories, tend to yellow-brick-road their way to “the Jews”). Even the rubes it has gulled (the “true believers”) are so deeply entrenched in delusional thinking that it is too often impossible to get through to them. So I won’t be engaging “every” claim in the anti-vaxx movement (there are hundreds; and when refuted, hundreds more get invented, in a never-ending death-spiral). You’d have to pay me. Because the tedium and labor of enduring all this is only justifiable at cost.
So this article only exists because I was paid. And since it’s quite expensive to hire me to critically examine hundreds of claims, I’ve been booked to tackle only one today: that viruses don’t exist.
Yes. That’s a thing. And it has an entire movement that I found annoys even most anti-vaxxers.
General Advice
Before I get to specifics, I want to impart to you some advice for dealing with any claims in that domain, because there are three “dirty tricks” that all cranks like anti-vaxxers pull that you can look for to catch this happening every time, so you can vet these things yourself and not need someone like me to:
- They will cite papers that (i) don’t actually say what they claim, or (ii) don’t actually imply what they claim, or (iii) have been retracted or refuted by subsequent, higher-powered studies, or (iv) have never been independently replicated while the contrary finding has been. This is dishonest and manipulative. So anyone whose argument is mostly built this way is either (a) a liar you should never trust again, or (b) their gullible victim, whose judgment on this matter you shouldn’t trust until they get up to speed. And (b) you might be able to help. But for (a), just walk and block.
- They will make claims you can prove false with ten minutes of effort, and which when thus eliminated, fatally cripple their argument, calling their conclusion (and their competence) into sufficient doubt to walk away (see my Primer on Actually Doing Your Own Research). Don’t play their game of having to rebut “everything” they say. A single fatality to their argument is enough to identify it all as a waste of your time; but three is decisive. Any ensuing whining and raging is just emotional manipulation at that point. You don’t owe them any more of your time. You can just walk and block.
- They will make arguments that you can immediately identify as fallacious, and which when thus eliminated, fatally cripple their argument. Here, maybe, they can “fix” the argument, and all they have demonstrated is that they are bad at thinking. Which is not a good sign. But you can give them a chance. Though they only get three. Third strike and they’re out. You then know they cannot think. And if they cannot think, nothing they do think is worth the bother of your listening to. Walk and block.
Those three tactics are common to all pseudoscience and every implausible conspiracy, so it’s good advice all around. Whether it’s flat earth, lizard people, or climate denial. Or, indeed, even Christianity or Islam or woo—or MAGA.
The No Virus Movement
There aren’t a lot of people in this “movement.” Its thought-leaders you can probably count on one hand (or maybe two; it thus has less expert support than your average UFO cult). And even its lay enthusiasts are scant compared to the broader swath of generic anti-vaxxers. Its relationship to that is kind of like Young Earth Creationism to Old Earth Creationism: one has a hazy veneer of respectability that the other completely lacks even among their peers.
A big proponent of the No Virus Theory, two of whose “chapters” arguing this I was hired to take seriously (and I did—until I couldn’t anymore), is Mark Gober, whose book (?) on it, An End to Upside Down Medicine: Contagion, Viruses, and Vaccines—and Why Consciousness Is Needed for a New Paradigm of Health (2023), couldn’t even be bothered to have page numbers, but is instead formatted like a web page, not an actual book, paper, or report. Which is not a wave-off, but it is a red flag. More worrying is that Gober has no relevant credentials (other than, presumably, mathematical analytics; he’s an ex-banker) and is a proponent of aliens, telepathy, and other woo. He boards the parapsychology institute IONS. And he’s a geocentrist (I’m not joking). So of course his book about virology is not peer reviewed science. His publisher is his own literary agent. This is not the correct way to critique consensus science. It sends up a lot of red flags. It’s a textbook sign of crankery. It’s precisely the kind of thing you shouldn’t be reading unless you were paid to.
Gober relies a lot on a bigger wig in the movement, Mark Bailey, who self-published a long essay of the same sort, “A Farewell to Virology,” also never peer reviewed (and also basically a web page copied and pasted into a book template, though this one at least is paginated). He’s an MD at least, but has no degrees in virology or any biomedical research field, and his book contains no original research. Bailey claims to have worked on clinical trials as a research scientist, but he provides no cv or lists any papers or studies he co-authored or even worked on, not even in his entire 67 page essay. On my own I could not find any; and you can confirm for yourself that he is not this Mark J. Bailey, although that guy’s cv gives you an idea of what our Mark J. Bailey is supposed to be able to show us.
Gober also relies a lot on Dissolving Illusions: Disease, Vaccines, and The Forgotten History (2013) by anti-vaxxers Suzanne Humphries and Roman Bystrianyk. Humphries is only an MD, a self-described “nephrologist-turned-homeopath,” with no degrees or substantive experience in biomedical research. Bystrianyk is supposedly also an MD, but shows no peer reviewed studies in Google Scholar; Humphries herself claims only two studies in unrelated medical matters decades before publishing this book. And they still just self-published their also poorly edited book, which also looks like a web page they just pasted into a book template (what is with these people?). And again no peer review. It’s also not clear that they support the No Virus argument (so I will assume they don’t), rather than dispute that vaccines do anything (other than maybe cause needless harm, the standard anti-vaxx refrain). But that gets used by others as evidence viruses don’t exist, so their arguments remain pertinent here.
Gober and Bailey do clearly claim viruses have never even been proved to exist—that they have never been isolated or their transmission demonstrated. Which was so annoying to Michael Palmer—a fellow anti-vaxxer of some renown who does have relevant research qualifications—that he wrote three articles soundly refuting it. Palmer shows how both assertions are false. You should read his essays in reverse order, because anti-vaxxers exploit the normal order of explaining things in order to undermine learning, so you need to see that happen to be immunized against it. So, start from the end and then go back to the beginning: read Palmer’s “Experimental Proof of Virus Transmission and Contagion,” then read “The Fallacies of the ‘No virus’ Doctrine,” then read “Do Viruses Even Exist? Spoiler: Yes, They Do”).
And mind you, this is from an anti-vaxxer. When even anti-vaxxers are calling an anti-vaxxer crazy, that’s pretty damning. But for a sober mainstream discussion of all the quite vast evidence we have that viruses have been reliably detected, isolated, and even photographed, and their structures and genomes mapped (something that would be impossible if they didn’t exist), and their entire mechanism tracked at every step from transmission to disease, see:
- Modern Uses of Electron Microscopy for Detection of Viruses
- High-Resolution Virus Pictures Help Researchers Develop Vaccines
- The Vast Viral World: What We Know (and Don’t Know)
- Human Viruses: Discovery and Emergence
And so on. Just to get started. Because there are literally millions of studies establishing all this.
Dissolving Idea: Method
None of those No Virus pseudobooks engage any proper way to challenge a scientific consensus (see On Evaluating Arguments from Consensus). That they are bypassing even correct procedures, much less all channels of peer review, is a bad sign. Those mechanisms exist precisely so that non-experts can know what’s worth taking seriously and what’s just idle crankery. Since we can’t all vet every thing, we need expert communities to filter information by quality for us. So bypassing even the processes that that entails, much less the existing process itself, signals to us that you want to avoid an informed public, not that you want to inform the public. You don’t want to be put under critical expert tests before being heard.
And to be clear, the point I am making is not that we should just “trust” peer review. We know it’s unreliable, awash with false positives and false negatives (see The Korean “Comfort Women” Dust-Up and the Function of Peer Review in History and my recent series on Stylometry). But if you believe you are being blacklisted or unfairly shut out by the process, you still have to show that. Your studies should indicate what the peer reviewers said (if anything) to warrant blocking publication, and demonstrate that it is a bogus reason or not even true of your study, so that we, the people, can see that that is what happened—rather than that you wanted to avoid doing that. Which looks shady. For when peer review does and doesn’t matter, and how equivalent vetting can be sought, see my Primer on Actually Doing Your Own Research.
But for want of a real process, we can attempt our own due diligence, even though it is probably a waste of our time and resources. Which is why people like me exist, whom you can pay to do it for you. So, in order to illustrate proper procedure—which you yourself could follow, adapting it to any other question or example—I will first walk you through my prima facie quality check of Dissolving Illusions, because Gober relies on the same (or same kind of) arguments heavily. And do note that the whole process I will describe for that book took me a day (and then dealing with Gober, two)—although I had a decisive answer already within forty minutes. I just kept going to make double extra sure.
But here is what you should all do when confronted with a similar situation…
The first task is to check what critical reviews already say (especially, if you can find them, expert reviews), since often someone has already done most of the work for you. Obviously you don’t just gullibly believe what any critic says. But when they make clear arguments with clearly stated premises, you can save a lot of time by just vetting them, rather than the thing you want to vet, because that will usually be a gigantic wordwall of thousands of claims and assertions (as crankery tends to be), and a critic who already plowed that ground probably has zeroed in on the key things you really need to test. But again, that, too, you can test, by checking whether a critic is evading rather than zeroing in.
The second task is to evaluate if any of those already-published criticisms check out. Is what they say the author says correct? Is what they say is wrong with what the author says correct? Does the author already rebut what they say—or not? And if they do, does their rebuttal check out on both its facts and logic? This can get you well-situated and on a good head-start. A picture will start to emerge. The author will start to look like a quack, or the critics will start to look disingenuous, or there will be open questions about either that you then need to answer, and by then you will know what those questions are and you can focus on answering them.
More diligence is required than this before accepting a challenge to an expert consensus, especially a challenge that has suspiciously avoided any kind of peer review. Because that is what an expert consensus is for: it is a massive-scale independent vetting process. So you won’t be doing better than an entire expert community unless you put in some effort. This is why anyone who has a valid concern about a corrupt academic field needs to first show that the consensus is not well-founded before they can claim to have corrected it. Conversely, you have a lot of work to do before you can buy into a challenge to the consensus that is either bypassing peer review or being sidelined or ignored by it.
And that does not require you to be an expert. Most facts are checkable even for a layperson. And every argument can be parsed into its logic and tested for fallacies by anyone—you just need to know how to parse and vet the logic of an argument. I describe how lay people can do this, even when there are facts so advanced they can’t check them, in Galatians 1:19, Ancient Grammar, and How to Evaluate Expert Testimony (walking you through an example that can be adapted to any field or science, not just ancient Greek grammar) and A Primer on Actually Doing Your Own Research (walking you through how to do any research correctly, regardless of the subject field, and thus not fall into traps of bad thinking).
Dissolving Idea: Results
I often look to see if there are any good Amazon customer reviews. A good review is one that shows they actually read the book, cites and quotes a lot of material in the book, and makes checkable claims about that material—so it doesn’t require you to “believe” them. For Dissolving Illusions, this is a good customer review (by Isabella B. on April 13, 2015). When you check, you will find all of her claims check out. And that does not look good for Humphries and Bystrianyk—even after considering their attempt at replying to her remarks (in respect to her blog article which, you’ll understand shortly, is not the most salient piece to examine here), where they actually avoid her essential points and try to change the subject, with a massive crank wordwall (as you can check for yourself and see there).
Checking (so as to compare) how an advocate responds to critics is a valuable step in critical thinking, but I won’t walk you through that here. In general, if you see any point in doing that yourself, remember all the tricks: line-out all arguments that evade the actual point (evasion ticks the “unreliable” box); and line-out all arguments that are not an examination of who is telling the truth (and who is not) about specific points of fact (because whoever you catch lying the most is the one you should stop trusting), which includes fallacies (because reaching false conclusions by an abuse of logic counts as not telling the truth). Only devote time to what remains. And then vet that: fact-check, logic-check, and count up the lies and pseudo-arguments on either side and compare; and don’t forget the first principle of all apologetics: leaving evidence out that, when put back in, changes the conclusion. This is the role of framing: trying to frame you into forgetting or overlooking things and thus mistaking the matter as only what the crank claims the dispute is. So it is not enough to just fisk a critique or a response. You have to look out for what is not in it.
Isabella finds several serious logical and factual errors that check out as indeed the errors she describes, and the book never addresses them (at all or effectively). This greatly reduces the trustworthiness of its authors, as well as the merits of the book’s thesis—as these errors are not in trivial side points but in its core arguments. Some of the examples she gives even implicate deliberate deception—where Humphries and Bystrianyk must know what they are saying is either false or a non sequitur.
Here’s an example:
[Humphries and Bystrianyk write] “It is a little-known fact that any antibody, even a vaccine-induced one, can render a person more vulnerable to disease […] Some antibodies increase the ability of viruses to infect their target cells. This phenomenon is called antibody dependent enhancement (ADE) of infection (p 367).”
When I looked up the “ADE phenomenon” I found that it has only been observed in relation to the particular characteristics of the dengue fever virus and HIV virus. It is not a phenomenon that relates to the viruses we currently vaccinate against — measles, mumps, rubella, chickenpox, rotavirus and influenza. Why bring up ADE when it has nothing to do with vaccine viruses, and especially the measles virus?
I checked her point, and it is substantially correct: there are a few more examples one could mention, but to the point, there is no relevant example of ADE at all. And there is no ADE occurring with any actual vaccine, either: rather, recurring ADE prevents development of a vaccine. So this is something controlled for in vaccine development. It is not some “risk” that people are assuming by accepting any approved vaccine for anything whatever. So I checked further. Humphries and Bystrianyk claim ADE is a risk with “coxsackieviruses” but there is no vaccine for coxsackievirus. The only ADE recorded from that virus is caused by human antibodies, not vaccines. So how is this relevant to any point Humphries and Bystrianyk want to make?
It is impossible for Humphries and Bystrianyk to know as much about ADE as they show they do and not know this. Which demonstrates to me that they are lying. They are using a disingenuous scare tactic to misinform their readers into thinking ADE is some sort of pervasive problem with vaccines generally, or at all relevant in any of the vaccines they are supposed to be talking about. They even give the impression of this being a risk with “measles” vaccines today. But it is not. We have not used any ADE-incident measles vaccines for half a century.
This is all deception: they are manipulating words and juxtapositions to give the impression of having stated relevant reasons to avoid vaccines that are actually all false in that respect. Their words can only be made to be “true” if you reinterpret them so as to render them irrelevant to their argument (e.g., coxsackieviruses cause ADE, but no coxsackievirus vaccine does, so this is irrelevant to their argument; last century some early measles vaccines showed rare instances of ADE, but no one uses those vaccines anymore, so this is irrelevant to their argument; etc.).
Remember Rule 2 from the top? Once you’ve established the authors are liars, you can burn the book. Use it to warm your hands over a fire and a beer. You’re done. You don’t have to waste a single other minute of your life on their disinforming game. So you can put their book to a more productive purpose, like warming and illuminating your deck party.
You’ll find the same all the way down.
For example, Isabella checked their claim about “rashless measles,” where (they claim) certain measles vaccine therapies entail the “potential development of tumors and connective tissue disease later in life,” by hunting down (and even paying for) the article they cite, and finding it did not say that. I followed the same trail (but used sci-hub.se to avoid having to pay a criminal price for it) and she’s right: Humphries and Bystrianyk cited a study pertaining to cases in the 1940s (which are thus entirely irrelevant to modern measles therapies) of non-vaccination therapies (and thus cannot have said anything about vaccines creating this risk) where the risk they documented goes away when you add vaccines, and in fact that paper says the solution to the problem they identified is vaccines!
Humphries and Bystrianyk are therefore blatantly lying here. They cite a paper that refutes them as if it supported them. And it is clear there can be no other paper they could cite to recover this point. So they just engineered a fake citation to back a lie. If you find many examples of this (and she does), when they aren’t telling the truth about the papers they cite (either what they say, what they entail, or how they stand in light of contrary studies), then it’s even Rule 1, and you can burn the book.
Isabella wasn’t the only good review there. This one by David A. Rintoul (on March 19, 2018) provides an organized list, with examples, of violations and failures of logic and honesty throughout the book. You can, again, check all that and see who is telling the truth. I am quite certain by now that it won’t be Humphries and Bystrianyk. But you don’t have to trust me on that. You can check yourself. David and Isabella have done a lot of the groundwork for you and shown you where and what to check to find out who the liars are here.

Those are pretty good. But of course I prefer to find expert critiques when I can (which is how and why I found even the anti-vaxxer critic, Michael Palmer, earlier). So I did some googling and found Joel A. Harrison’s 60-page critical report on their book, Wrong About Polio: A Review of Suzanne Humphries, MD and Roman Bystrianyk’s “Dissolving Illusions” (2018; with a corresponding PDF version and a briefer summary). Notably, these critiques, the actual expert critiques, Humphries and Bystrianyk haven’t responded to (at least as of May 2025). Yet Harrison’s is especially damning. It also raises points that I did suspect on my own but was relieved to see confirmed by an expert.
For example, by ignoring other effects of illnesses besides death, Humphries and Bystrianyk develop a false impression of the utility of vaccines. We do not vaccinate solely to improve mortality but reduce adverse symptoms, lost work, taxpayer and patient medical-financial costs, and chronic and acute disabilities. By leaving out all those other benefits, Humphries and Bystrianyk create a monumental deception: they pretended none of that exists. And leaving things out that, when you put them back in, reverse the conclusion, is Apologetics 101—ergo, Crankery 101. And so here: even if vaccines did not help mortality, they do help everything else. That’s why hiding the case rate and only looking at death rate is a deception. Most of the effect is seen in the case rate, because we have more and better hospitals to rescue people from dying now, so we are artificially suppressing that effect, yet it would be better if we didn’t have to. “You didn’t die thanks to a week on a ventilator” is still a failure—that vaccines still help prevent.
But even on that sole question of mortality, Humphries and Bystrianyk use graphs that misrepresent the factual reality, trying to sell the claim that vaccines caused no measurable change in declining mortality rates and thus “didn’t do anything.” For example, if (as they did) they only look at the recorded primary cause of death at time of death, it won’t say (for example) “measles” but, for example, cardiac failure or pneumonia or encephalitis—even when those were caused by measles. So all their death-rate charts are deeply misleading and can’t by themselves support the point they tried to make. They are ignoring almost all measles deaths. And sure, when you get to ignore all the data refuting you, you can avoid being refuted. But that’s not proving a point. It’s just hiding the fact that your point is false. Which is lying.
Indeed, as Harrison points out, “measles weakens our immune systems, increasing the mortality risk for 2–3 years afterwards,” so Humphries and Bystrianyk were failing to count nearly all deaths caused by measles. If we use a more honest test of their thesis, and check comparative population data—which show the vaccine’s effectiveness on mortality by comparing contemporary populations by vaccination rate, we see an extremely large mortality benefit to vaccination. Completely refuting Humphries and Bystrianyk. This indicates, again, that they are liars. They should know this was an essential test of their thesis. But they avoided it, and concealed it (indeed even its relevance) from their readers. That’s how a grift works. That said, their compromised data could be used to analyze patterns of effect pertaining to their argument. While most disease-incited causes of death are not being counted, the deaths that are being counted do in some sense “proxy” to some measurable effect on mortality—just not all of it. But we’ll see what a more honest use of their kind of data looks like in the next section.
Harrison shows an even bigger problem for their treatment of smallpox. Humphries and Bystrianyk ignore the role of variola major and variola minor, the latter vaccinating the population naturally against the former (much as flu did to influenza, a process COVID is undergoing now, and much like HSV1 does for HSV2). The human-made vaccine thus extends that vaccination to those not already protected by antibodies for variola minor, and reduces the severity of various major symptoms even when still contracted. You therefore cannot use tables of mortality for “small pox” to measure the effectiveness of the vaccine. You would need to look at a control group without variola minor antibodies or vaccine, and then compare that with the rest of the population (like, you know, honest scientists already did). Moreover, that vaccine’s effectiveness against related illnesses like monkey pox also evinces the point. And again you have to measure by symptoms, not mortality, to get the full picture. But, as I already noted, Humphries and Bystrianyk do none of these things. Because, I must honestly conclude, they are liars.
So that’s step one (find good critiques that have already been done that are easy to check, and check them) and step two (find expert critiques that have already been done that are easy to check, and check them). Which leaves step three: do what they did yourself. That is, if you still want to by this point—or if you find yourself in a situation where you can’t find anyone having already done it. This means applying your own critical thinking (like learning The Scary Truth about Critical Thinking) and doing your own research for real (per A Primer on Actually Doing Your Own Research), and not in the sham way dupes and conspiracists do.
From my decades of experience with cranks of all kinds, one trick I expected to find in Humphries and Bystrianyk (because all medical cranks use it) is the use of framing to hide data. For example, Humphries and Bystrianyk show us data tracking measles cases and deaths only to 1966 (e.g. p. 273). But its vaccine didn’t come out until 1963. And boosters didn’t begin until after 1966. They also use such a small scale you can’t see the change in rate after 1960, thus hiding the actual effect of the vaccine even after 1963—a decision I have to conclude was deliberate (because it makes no sense to do it their way).
So, try looking at the data without that manipulation:

If you look at the ensuing decades (what happened after the vaccine came out), the graphed result looks entirely different than what they claim. And indeed when we slacked off on vaccinating in the US, a predictable spike in the disease resulted, which was only controlled after returning to expanded vaccination. And it’s happening again, because of, yet again, dumb-ass anti-vaxxers. Every time people stop vaccinating, measles spikes. What are the odds?
Even the 2014 spike (the first in twenty years) was traced to this same cause. So was the 1989 spike twenty years before. And the 2019 and 2025 spikes were worse because this harmful ideology is spreading. This decisively proves the vaccine works. As the above (and even their) graph shows, measles would cycle up and down in continuous spikes, as waves of the disease hit the populace every few years—until the vaccine was introduced. Then, guess what? No spikes. Just look at the graph. The pre-vaccine and post-vaccine regimes are extremely stark in their absolute difference. This is not plausibly a coincidence.
Lately, we have been getting spikes again—but solely because of people falling for anti-vaxx propaganda like this and not getting their kids vaccinated. We can see a direct 1:1 correlation between events of declining vaccination and the return of spiking cases. And Humphries and Bystrianyk had to have known this about the 1989 outbreak. The outbreaks that happened after they published in 2013 they may even have been responsible for in part. But even before then, they had the data showing the “spiking cycle” disappearing after vaccination, and the case rate and death rate radically plummeting exactly then as well, between 1963 and 1967. It would otherwise have cruised on, spiking above and below the 1960 rate after that—but for the vaccine. As is visible even with their undercounted death rate; even more with a full death rate, and case rate.
Leaving information like this out is not just dishonest but fatal to their thesis (the second fact probably explaining the first). Hence honest (as in, real) studies get different results than theirs.
How to Lie with Graphs
The method of deception they employ to hide these facts is to use distorted scales misrepresenting the data. And I want to focus on this a bit because it is crucial to understand that lying does not just mean making directly false statements. Omitting or hiding contrary information is lying. Framing a statement or diagram so as to mislead a reader about what is being said or what it really means is lying. And someone who repeatedly lies is a liar. And that’s Rule 2. Walk, block, burn the book and have a beer.
For example, they will show you a graph like this (p. 273):

And then argue that this shows that every illness was already on a trajectory of decline to insignificance without vaccines, and that vaccines didn’t do anything at all—which No Virus proponents then use to argue “therefore” viruses don’t exist, though really that’s a non sequitur, since even if vaccines were useless, viruses could still exist. It’s not like if I showed you that spellcasting doesn’t do anything to get rid of viruses, I get to conclude viruses don’t exist. So that argument is not even logical. But the premise is also false. As you saw above, when we don’t distort the graph the way they have here, we see their claims are not even true: we always had cycles of spiking with high numbers of cases and deaths for all of these illnesses, and the trend was not toward zero but well above it, and vaccines precipitously eliminated all of that.
They also deploy here another standard crank tactic: to exaggerate an additional explanation, and then pretend (by black-or-white fallacy) that the other explanation has been eliminated. But reality (and logic) doesn’t work that way. It is true that most decline in all diseases (even bacterial and nutritional and environmental diseases—all diseases) is caused by improving state investment in public health and sanitation. As we live in cleaner, better-fed environments, we get less ill and die less often. Likewise as medical science gets better and more available, cases can stay the same while deaths decline (because we are spending gobs of time, money, and risk “saving” those people). That does not mean vaccines did “nothing.” It is the combination of public health investment and vaccination that got the result. But to see that, you can’t collapse your graph so much that it disappears. That’s dishonest. So it looks to me like they are choosing to hide the evidence here, rather than showing it to you. Hence the resulting “look” of the graph supports their false narrative, but only dishonestly.
This is most evident on their graph for diphtheria, typhoid, measles, and smallpox. The last two are the bottom lines there. They have collapsed the graph so much you can barely see it, but there is no major decline trend for those illnesses until the 1920s (the leveling of the spike cycle after 1896 is likely due to improvements in diagnostics and isolating the ill, but the averaged rate hardly differs from before). Now, be aware, for smallpox, the entire period covered by this graph is all vaccinated (mandatory national smallpox vaccination began in the 1840s, which is off-graph to the left somewhere, so you don’t get to see it or its effects), so that line has literally no relevance to their argument (I suspect they are hoping you don’t notice that).
But if you want to see evidence of that vaccine’s effect, we have records from Sweden:

Look at the graph. Guess what happened in 1801 and then 1816? You probably guessed right. The vaccine was introduced in Sweden in 1801 and mandated nationwide in 1816. By comparison, as already noted, the measles vaccine went national in the US in 1963, but Humphries and Bystrianyk’s graph is so squished it looks like it had no effect—hence, check the un-squished graph I provided above, where it’s effect is stark. Really, it had an enormous effect, same as smallpox in Sweden (and everywhere else vaccination became mandatory or universal). So you might then ask, why do deaths (and note: their graph only tracks direct deaths, not cases or indirect deaths, and thus ignores all other horrors and costs) drop in the 1920s and the answer is: antibiotics. A common factor in deaths from these two infections was secondary bacterial infection, which sometimes was still logged as a measles death (especially when they were highly proximate). By eliminating that, the death-rate jumped to a lower baseline that remained pretty much the same until 1963, when it collapsed to near zero. Why? Vaccines.
Their squished graph hides all of that. But let’s look at an honestly calibrated graph:

You can see here the death rate was steady (spiking in cycles) until the 1920s, when antibiotics reduced the mortality rate for measles to its baseline rate (of just measles alone), while the case rate remained pretty much the same (records of mere cases don’t predate 1944 but you can see the trendline). But the death rate for measles still then leveled out at hundreds a year (after it was discovered in the 1940s that prophylactic co-treatment of antibiotics to prevent, not just treat, secondary infections reduced measles mortality again, explaining the decline between 1940 and 1955). And still millions a year were suffering (remember, death isn’t the only bad thing diseases do and not the only reason we want to eradicate them). All of that dropped to near zero after the vaccine. So no case can honestly be made that the measles vaccine “didn’t do anything.” The kids who died from it even just a month or two ago now didn’t have to. So anyone who is arguing vaccines don’t do anything is literally killing kids.

So what about typhoid? Its vaccines rolled out after 1896. Before that their graph shows two spikes from major outbreaks (you might notice the largest of them coincides with the Civil War), but the average actually did not substantially change until the 1890s. So again they play on the deceptive “look” of the graph to imply vaccines “didn’t do anything.” But see the rate between 1880 and 1895 on their graph: it’s almost the same. But for the outbreaks, we’d not see much of a downward trend. Then, after 1895, the decline tracks the expansion of the vaccine program, which is what allowed us to essentially eliminate the disease. These authors of course also play on the fact that even that decline was due to the combination of increased vaccination and improved civil investment, e.g. public water and sewer utilities and medical care. It’s not “one and not the other.” So their argument doesn’t hold water.
But…hold on. Typhoid isn’t even a virus. It’s a bacterial infection. So it can’t have anything to do with the claim that viruses don’t exist anyway. Because vaccines have often proved effective even against some cellular microbes. Humphries and Bystrianyk aren’t arguing viruses don’t exist, but anyone who cites them to make that argument is in trouble here. Because the typhoid line on their graph is irrelevant to any argument that “viruses” don’t exist. Same for diphtheria: also a bacterial infection, and therefore irrelevant to that argument. And yet diphtheria vaccination started in the 1890s. First with toxin-exposure, a technique relying on the same principles. And full vaccines arrived after 1910, and became widespread by the 1930s, with mass campaigns in the 1940s. And guess what happened:

Yeah. That’s right. The actually high case and death rates plummeted to zero exactly then. This is hidden from you on their squished graph (and remember, their graph doesn’t track cases at all, and thus easily conflates our ability to rescue someone from dying with how many people get ill, thus again hiding the biggest effects of the vaccine). This was also fighting a bacterium, of course, so it can’t support a thesis about viruses anyway. But when you zoom out, their graph no longer shows any steady decline in deaths before the 1890s when vaccine-related treatments began either (see this helpful thread), so even though this has nothing to do with viruses and is irrelevant to the No Virus argument, I will show you this other graph anyway, so you see how they are lying to you:

Look closely at the blue diphtheria data-line in that graph (this is from England, where we have data going farther back): the death rate is not on continual decline like they claim. It spikes in cycles but averages pretty much the same from the 1850s to 1890s, and begins to decline only with the mass introduction of antitoxins in the 1890s (manufactured by a process similar to vaccination). Yet still doesn’t drop below common rates found for many years in the 1800s until the 1920s, precisely when real vaccines were introduced, and even then the rates stay on average pretty much the same from then to the 1940s, after which cases and deaths vanish from the graph altogether—precisely when England began its mass vaccination campaign. And remember, this graph is only tracking deaths (and thus hiding cases, symptoms, and other effects like hospitalization).

So when we don’t hide data like they do, when we see the whole picture, it supports the effectiveness of vaccines. It does not support any claim they are making. And note the grey smallpox data-line here, too: it also destroys their false narrative. By going back to 1838, it shows routine deadly spikes in that disease every decade until the U.K. Smallpox Act of 1871 mandated universal infant vaccination—after which the death rate plummeted, and in just one generation (when most of the population was vaccinated, being by then comprised of those infants now become adults) it vanishes entirely from this graph, being too small to show up on it for the remainder of human history. Which creates a stark divide between the two halves of this graph, corresponding to the 19th and 20th centuries: one century vaccinated, the other not. See the difference?
And then there’s tuberculosis: also a bacterial infection. Moreover, it wasn’t fought with any vaccine in the US. So their entire graphed line for it is completely irrelevant to even their argument, much less a No Virus argument. And yet it’s the tallest and most dramatic line on their graph. They are probably counting on you being impressed by it. Yet it should be erased. Because it doesn’t even relate to viruses or vaccines. But, if you are wondering, controlled studies of the effectiveness of the TB vaccine do confirm substantial reduction in cases and deaths internationally. And it had a noticeable impact in England when vaccination became widespread there in 1953. And yet its effect is only middling (it can cut rates by half or a third, but not eliminate cases or deaths, and is mostly only effective in children). So to “see” its effect you need more than deceptively constructed graphs: you need actual science.
And when we stick to just vaccinated viruses, the same thing happens in every case: advances in public investment improve all-cause mortality, reducing diseases to their baseline cycles of case and death rates—and then a vaccine wipes them out almost entirely or measurably reduces both cases (and thus miseries and costs) and deaths. For example, we have concrete evidence of the effectiveness of the flu vaccine, over the last ten years and over the last eighty, with exactly the same change in the mortality curve, from continual spiking to a low near flat incident rate precisely when the vaccine was introduced in 1945. And even now, the difference in incidence between vaccinated and nonvaccinated is not only measurable but large. And that’s also not even considered a highly effective vaccine. Yet it still cuts incidence (and death) by more than half. And there is no actual way to argue against this evidence—without lying.
The Gober Attempt
Okay. So now that you have all that preparation, let’s look at Gober’s End to Upside Down Medicine. I’m sticking to only chapters 2 and 3 (pp. 39–83), which are the ones claiming “viruses don’t exist” (and therefore vaccines are a scam). Which depends a lot on Bailey and Humphries and Bystrianyk. But we’ll see how we should think of Gober’s attempt at this.
His first argument is that “they never found an isolated, purified” HIV virus but only ever “a ‘soup’ of cellular material that they simply assumed contained the virus.” This is a lie. It is a lie in all the ways already explained by anti-vaxxer Michael Palmer (see links above to ground yourself in the truth of how viruses are isolated and detected and studied). But let’s carry his points specifically into Human Immunodeficiency Viruses (HIV). I’ll stick with HIV-1 to keep it simple but all the same follows for HIV-2. We don’t just have photographs of individual viruses (no “soup” we just “guess” they are in), but even photographs of the virus in its stages of cell invasion. See, for example, “Ion-Abrasion Scanning Electron Microscopy Reveals Surface-Connected Tubular Conduits in HIV-Infected Macrophages” in PLOS Pathogens 2009. That was literally the first hit the instant I entered “Scanning electron micrograph of HIV-1” in Google Scholar. And it told me there were, in all, 21,600 articles matching that description; and 44,000 articles discuss isolating HIV-1. Gober at al. will claim all these tens of thousands of studies are lying or deceiving you. But it’s Gober et al. who are lying or deceiving you.
As even Wikipedia will explain to you, we not only have thousands of photographs of individual HIV-1 (no soup guessing) but in every stage of its attack (we can see it by itself; we can see it attaching to cells; we can see it invading cells; we can see it blocking mechanisms in the cell that neutralize its abilities to fight it off), and we have completely mapped its RNA genome (which is impossible if we were just guessing it was in some soup; and impossible if it didn’t exist, since non-existent things don’t have consistently detected genomes), and we have even traced the causal relationship between those genes and what HIV does (and thus can explain AIDS right down to specific genes the virus introduces into its host). We have also mapped the entire shape and structure of the HIV proteins (impossible for something that doesn’t exist). And that’s on top of all the “soup” stuff Gober is dishonestly mocking (because of course you can also prove a thing exists in a “soup” by observing the effects when it’s present compared to when absent, as explained by Palmer, and this has also been done for HIV-1 in spades, across thousands of studies).
The most impressive example is a recent study using an electron microscope to take a motion picture of HIV-1 actually mechanically operating (see Scientists See an Ultra-Fast Movement in an HIV-1 Surface Protein), which ties together all the above, because this gave them information on how HIV neutralizes immune systems, and what it would take (mechanically) to stop it doing that:
The moving part is a structure called envelope glycoprotein, and AIDS researchers have been trying to figure it out for years because it is a key part of the virus’ ability to dock on a T-cell receptor known as CD4. Many parts of the envelope are constantly moving to evade the immune system, but vaccine immunogens are designed to stay relatively stable.
Seeing that structure snap open and shut in mere millionths of a second is giving Duke Human Vaccine Institute (DHVI) investigators a new handle on the surface of the virus that could lead to broadly neutralizing antibodies for an AIDS vaccine. Being able to attach an antibody specifically to this little structure that would prevent it from popping open would be key.
Likewise, we can photograph uninfected and infected cells, and see when HIV is present, and confirm it is present when effects are also present but absent when it is absent, thus proving it causes AIDS even with direct photographs:

We have closer-up views of just the isolated virus (which visibly shows you the virus has been isolated):

By using thousands of photographs it is possible to completely model the typical physical structure of an HIV-1 virus (the following image is a computer model built from imaging data):

We also have photographs of the virus at every stage of its attack on a cell. And it’s not the only virus all this is true of.
So how does Gober cope with all this? He completely ignores it and acts like it doesn’t exist. Instead he claims he has peer reviewed studies to cite that show none of this has happened, but he only points to a crank website. No peer review. If you feel betrayed, you should. This is just another way of lying. All he does is just go on quoting more cranks saying we “never saw a virus.” We saw a virus. They’ve seen it thousands of times. They’ve photographed it. They even fucking filmed it. Cranks will claim it wasn’t a virus in any of these images, just dirt or something else, but the isolating procedures and staged imaging all refute that.

Gober next tries a “gotcha” when he says his cohorts asked every institute for their studies proving SARS-CoV-2 virus exists and they replied they had none. But Gober is lying. You can confirm this yourself. The CDC has—yep!—photographs of the virus. As well as everything else. We have thousands of photographs of SARS-CoV-2. And we have its genome. And a map of its protein structure. And every other thing proving it exists; including a causal demonstration of how its genes produce structures that produce symptoms (and causally how they do)—chief among these being how the virus’s genome hijacks a host genome to reproduce itself, the defining structural feature of all viruses. All of which obviously can’t exist if the virus doesn’t, yet there it is. Photos. Genes. Isolations. “Scanning electron micrograph of SARS-CoV-2” in Google Scholar finds 19,500 articles; “isolating SARS-CoV-2 virus,” 55,000 articles; “genome of SARS-CoV-2 virus,” 395,000 articles. Is the No Virus argument starting to look like a fantastical conspiracy theory now? Indeed. It’s Holocaust denial redux.
So how did Gober construct this lie? The letter actually sent to the CDC (and other institutions) sets impossible and ridiculous conditions, so obviously no documents matched his ridiculously impossible request. He then reports this in the book as the CDC having “no evidence” of the existence of the virus. Notice the deception: they did not ask the CDC for all its evidence of the virus; they asked it for a specific kind of evidence that is impossible (a virus found nowhere near any other cell, living or dead; note, there is no micrometer of inhabited space on Earth that lacks “any other” cell material) and also irrelevant (we can tell genomes and cells and particles apart, so we don’t need to find a magical place that is absolutely sterile yet still has the virus in it, which would be a neat trick since the virus needs other cells to reproduce, and sterilization would destroy it). Yet Gober misleads his readers into thinking they asked them for all their evidence. So he is lying to you when he claims they said they had none.
I must pause to emotionally vent for a moment. Forgive me. But this scale of deception is disgusting. This shit fucking pisses me off. And it is why I despise doing this. I am now wasting days of my life dealing with his bullshit. It’s barely worth what I’m being paid. And this is why we don’t give these fuckers the time of day anymore: it always turns out like this. And I’m sick of it.
Okay. Back to it…
- Gober then goes on a rant about all the other causes of illness (some real, some dubious, some made-up), which is irrelevant. That a poison can kill you does not mean a virus can’t. There is just no comprehensible logic in an argument like that. But it’s designed to deceive you. You are being manipulated with this shell game. So you have to keep your eye on the ball: does any of this evince viruses don’t exist or don’t cause disease? No. So, moving on.
- Gober mentions the “possibility” that vaccines could harm people (and even implies they cause COVID), but if you are a critical thinker you will notice “possibly” does not mean “probably,” and he presents no evidence to get to probably, so this is just another manipulation. So you have to keep your eye on the ball: does any of this evince viruses don’t exist or don’t cause disease? No. So, moving on.
- Gober then tries an argument from ignorance, to the effect of, “Just because we can’t explain why COVID broke out when it did and hospitalized and killed so many people suddenly, and now isn’t, doesn’t mean we are wrong that there is no virus causing it.” Which is the same fallacy. The question isn’t whether it’s “logically possible” space aliens did it, or an undetected poison in salmon skin chips, or a new television signal, or a wizard. The question is what is the most probable cause. And all the evidence overwhelmingly proves the answer is: SARS-CoV-2 virus. By every possible test.
Then Gober just cites a bunch of other liars and cranks, nothing but fringers like Mark Bailey, but they just replicate the same lies and manipulations and fallacies. None of them have any peer reviewed study to back them. All of them ignore all the evidence against them and dishonestly claim it doesn’t exist. And all of them misrepresent the peer reviewed studies that do exist to deceive their readers. It’s all a con.
The Gober Deception
That accounts for the first half of Gober’s chapter on this. In the second half he tries to defend it. He breaks his argument down into two assertions: “viruses are not physically isolated in virology experiments” and “virology studies lack proper controls.” Both are false. He argues by word game: he does not mean by these things what actual scientists mean by these things; he then shows that his pseudoscientific meanings are not satisfied by the actual science; therefore science has not “isolated” viruses and “lacks any controlled studies” of them. But of course, his meanings are bullshit. In real scientific vocabulary, virology does all of this correctly. So he is the pseudoscientist here, not them.
What follows is nothing from any peer reviewed science but just a bunch of dumb analogies about hammers and juice (“aw shucks” cranksterism). His entire line of argument is fallacious, amounting to saying “if you haven’t completely ruled out every logically possible alternative, then you can’t have found the most probable cause,” which is false. This is like saying, “You can’t prove aliens didn’t cause that plane to crash, therefore you can never prove it was pilot error or mechanical failure,” which is just an utter failure to understand how evidence, probability, and inductive logic work. Since this fallacy is the form of every argument he makes in this chapter, every one is the same fallacy and thus can be consigned to the fire. Rule 3. Warm your hands. Have a beer.
Michael Palmer refutes this entire line of reasoning, so I don’t need to repeat his survey of how virology actually shows what is most probable here (and by far). See my links to his essays above. You don’t need to rule out aliens—or prove that someone’s allergic reaction still occurs at the North Pole before believing they have an allergy (yes, Gober uses almost that exact argument near the end of the fiftieth page of his PDF). In actual reality, we have isolated individual viruses (see photographs above), we have then gene and protein mapped them after isolation (thousands of studies), and we have documented (photographically and by controlled studies, both in animals, in vitro, and in humans, both live and post mortem) how specific genes produce specific structures, and how those structures physically produce specific effects (like hijacking a cell’s reproductive mechanism or metabolism or even immune response). And we have millions of controlled experiments showing that the presence of a viral genome corresponds to a rise in the very symptoms predicted by its structure, while its absence does not (that’s what an actual control is). But we also have de facto motion pictures of a virus doing what its detected genes predict, and photographs of it attacking a cell, at every stage—thus linking the photographed “viruses” to the “genomes” and proteins we mapped, leaving no rational doubt they are co-located and thus all the same thing.
But in case you were maniacally skeptical, yes, we actually have physically confirmed parts of the genome inside those photographed viral envelopes (“X-ray crystallography virus genome” returns 78,200 articles, but, just for giggles: example, example, example). Which proves those envelopes go with the RNA. But we also know that the RNA genes correlate with the structures they cause to form around the virus, so we have verified the link between the genes and the photographed structures (“linking virus genes to specific structures” returns 740,000 articles; note that some viruses are built from DNA rather than RNA, e.g. smallpox is a DNA virus, and we’ve known that for almost a century, but I’ll go on about RNA because it’s more typical).
And we have done that causally, not just by correlation. But we also have correlation: no RNA, then no structures; RNA, then structures. That’s what real science means by a controlled experiment. We’ve also done this all the way to symptoms (no RNA, no symptoms; RNA, symptoms). And again not just correlation but by causation: we have observed how the RNA-predicted structures get their envelopes into or hijacking cells, and photographed this. And we have confirmed not just that this causes symptoms (with, again, yes, controlled experiments—in animals, in vitro, and in humans), but also mechanically why (we have identified the entire causal chain from RNA gene to physically observed structure to physically observed cellular effect to observed symptoms at the organism level). What the fuck more do you need?
“But you didn’t do any of this at the North Pole.” Fuck off.
Gober then goes on a tour of the history of virology all the way back to ancient Rome. I won’t vet that. By now I know he is an unreliable liar who can never be trusted. So I don’t trust any of this. There are more trustworthy sources on the history of virology to consult. Even Wikipedia is more trustworthy than this guy (see History of Virology; and also Virology, for the current state of the field, which is actually the only thing that matters here). But if you want top-shelf surveys, see Foreign Bodies and Viruses, Plagues, and History. And if you want to get even more technical: Principles of Molecular Virology, Virology Step by Step, and Viruses: A Natural History—because viruses aren’t just a human threat, they attack animals and plants and even bacteria, and we’ve got extensive evidence for all of it, contrary to the No Virus camp’s RFK Jr. style complaints that this is all just about allopathy and “the medical industry.” Gober’s history survey is manipulative anyway, because “we used to have things wrong” or “we used to not know things” is not a relevant criticism of contemporary virology. It’s just a lazy fallacy of poisoning the well, a standard crank tactic. So again you have to keep your eye on the ball: does any of this evince viruses don’t exist or don’t cause disease? No. So, moving on.
It is here in the middle of Gober’s canned history that he asks, “Has anyone ever seen such a microscopic thing performing all of those steps—infecting living tissues, replicating inside them, and then damaging cells on its way out?” Yes. Yes we have. Not only do we have photographs of viruses in the middle of doing each of those things, but we also have a causal-mechanical understanding of how and why they do those things: certain genes cause certain structures, which we can predict (and then confirm) mechanically cause each of those effects; and we have confirmed those genes happen to be inside individually photographed viruses, and are always present when those effects occur, and absent when they do not (the definition of a controlled experiment: example, example, example; but for fun: “in vitro documenting each stage of virus infecting a cell” gets you 20,400 articles).
Which reminds me to remind you of a universal rule for debunking cranks: always ask what are you not being shown. What is being skipped over. What citations are missing. What is being left out. Because crankery depends on the universal rule of all apologetics: leave all the evidence out that, when put back in, reverses all your conclusions. So what cranks do is frame you: they cherry pick data, and don’t tell you (a.k.a. lying) that they have skipped over stuff to find something they can use (verification bias). They have created a frame and hope you stay in it—otherwise, if you look outside the frame, you catch all the shit that they skipped. And then you know you were being conned.
And one way to frame you (and thus con you) is to set ridiculous standards of proof, and claim science doesn’t meet them, therefore it has no proof. Here, Gober is being absurd asking for pictures of everything and complaining about soup. Yes, he’s still lying about that (we have the pictures). But notice he got us wasting time talking about whether we had the pictures (and whether they are “really” pictures of viruses, and other bullshit we can all answer because science already did—it’s not like scientists didn’t already think of all these things). Which is all distraction. When really, we already had the controlled experiments hundreds of years ago. The smallpox vaccine was proved effective by controlled experiments. We didn’t need electron microscopes. We proved “something” is in sick people (and in specific volumes of air or water or on specific objects), and that pre-exposure to it builds immunity, long before we could “see” what it was. The controls are straightforward: when it’s there, it doesn’t cause illness; when it is, it does. When you are pre-exposed to whatever that is, you are less likely to get ill; when you are not, you are more likely to get ill. We don’t need any more evidence than that. But Palmer already covers that.
We of course did even more after that. In the 19th century we figured out through controlled filter tests how small viruses are, and how to deactivate them and still build immunity with them (hence, the advancement of inactivated vaccines). In the 20th century we figured out what DNA and RNA were, and could map and track viruses by the presence of their genes. Because you don’t have to see a thing to know it’s there, a fundamental principle of all modern science. But we were also photographing viruses as early as the 1930s, and within fifty years correlating them with the presence of their genes. And by the 21st century we were developing hyper-detailed photographs of viruses and their genes and structures all in one. But we never needed that evidence to know they existed and that, when treated and inserted into plants, animals, or people, they gain immunity to them. So the No Virus theory never made sense. Not even in the 18th century. And certainly not in the 21st.
So the only way to sell this is to lie.
For example, when Gober cites his first (and almost only) contemporary peer reviewed study on viruses in this chapter, he lies about what it says and means. Gober claims “A 2015 paper published in PLOS Pathogens doesn’t inspire confidence” in the existence of viruses because it contains the sentence, “How non-enveloped viruses penetrate a host membrane to enter cells and cause disease remains an enigmatic step.” Always check for quote mining (taking a sentence out of context to give a false impression of what was actually said—a.k.a. lying). Especially when you’ve established you are reading a liar. The study he cites, “A Non-enveloped Virus Hijacks Host Disaggregation Machinery to Translocate across the Endoplasmic Reticulum Membrane,” actually resolves the “enigma” it refers to. So Gober was playing on an emotional trigger-word to try and manipulate his readers while communicating nothing actually of any relevance to his argument. But he also cherry-picked that article from ten years before he published. Why? That’s a red flag. I wonder what happens when we check all the more recent science he skipped over? Oh. Right. Fucker.
Gober already lied even at the minor premise in this argument (that we “don’t know” how non-enveloped viruses infect cells—we do). But his major premise, that we know of viruses that don’t have lipid envelopes, only gets his desired conclusion if you define virus as requiring that, and he had just quoted “a group of doctors, scientists, and researchers” defining “virus” that way. But they didn’t. He is lying. His quote is a description of the SARS-CoV-2 virus. Not all viruses. It’s also just a letter about SARS-CoV-2. It’s not a study or reference manual or virology textbook. So you should ask: why is he not quoting any virology textbook here? Isn’t that the only relevant place to find a contemporary universal “definition” of “virus”? In reality (outside the false picture Gober creates) non-enveloped viruses have been known for decades. Hey! There’s even a Wikipedia page on it! This isn’t some startling new discovery upsetting the entire definition of a virus, as Gober misleadingly implies. It’s long-established knowledge in the field.
Hence when we do what an honest person would do and check an actual definition of “virus,” we get this:
Viruses are infectious units with diameters of about 16 nm (circoviruses) to over 300 nm (poxviruses) … composed of proteins and are surrounded in some species of viruses by a lipid membrane, which is referred to as an envelope; the particles contain only one kind of nucleic acid, either DNA or RNA [and] do not reproduce by division, such as bacteria, yeasts or other cells, but they replicate in the living cells that they infect.
“In some species of viruses.” Gober faked up a definition of virus as “all” having envelopes, then cherry picked a study (one out of tens of thousands of studies) about non-enveloped viruses that conveniently used the word “enigmatic” somewhere in it (in a way actually irrelevant to any point Gober was making), in order to sell the idea to you that scientists don’t know what viruses are. Which is all a lie. It’s only worse that this deception is all in aid of the argument that “therefore” viruses don’t exist. Which is a non sequitur, even if his account of a changing definition here were true—since learning more about viruses is not “changing” what viruses are, nor is it evidence that we don’t know they exist. It is, rather, evidence we do know they exist, as otherwise we could not be accumulating so much new knowledge about them.
The second (and only other) contemporary peer reviewed study on viruses that Gober cites in this chapter he uses to pull the same stunt. He quotes “Difficulties in Differentiating Coronaviruses from Subcellular Structures in Human Tissues by Electron Microscopy” as saying “investigators have inaccurately reported subcellular structures, including coated vesicles, multivesicular bodies, and vesiculating rough endoplasmic reticulum, as coronavirus particles.” He then says this proves no one has ever succeeded in differentiating any virus from these things. Which is a lie. And he knows it, because that’s exactly the opposite of what that paper says and proves. So Gober clearly is hoping you don’t read that paper. He wants you to just “believe” the lies he is telling you about it. Indeed, Gober left out literally its very next sentence: “We describe morphologic features of coronavirus that distinguish it from subcellular structures.”
Ooops. So much for Gober’s argument. In reality this paper was not about virology generally anyway. It was about early, hastened efforts to isolate the coronavirus (and only that). And it was reminding researchers to stick to already-developed methods and protocols to avoid such mistakes. It thus evinces no field-wide problem with isolating viruses. In fact it documents that this problem isn’t field-wide but just a consequence of rushing covid research to fight the pandemic. And that paper obviously demonstrates the opposite of what Gober claims because it’s entire point is that we can tell viruses from other things. That’s how this paper was able to find that a virus was being confused with other things. Face, palm.
In like fashion, Gober’s entire canned history is just rhetoric. Because everything Gober talks about as occurring before 2000 is completely irrelevant to what we know now. Hence notice that that was all he is talking about (stuff from half a century ago), which he suddenly juxtaposed with these dishonest uses of contemporary studies, thus creating a fake impression that issues from fifty years ago are still issues today, when they aren’t. This is all manipulative. That’s when he will follow those lies with quoting another crank claiming we have “never” photographed a virus on or in a human cell. Damned fucking lie (see photographs and linked studies above). Of course this is a contradictory pose now for Gober to take. He simultaneously wants completely isolated viruses or else they don’t exist (so, we give him photographs of completely isolated viruses) and he wants viruses to be photographed on cells or else they don’t exist (so, we give him photographs of viruses invading cells). He clearly can’t tell the truth when we need him to.
After Gober concludes his baloney and manipulative history of virus isolation, everything he then goes on about regarding virus genome sequencing is false. As you can confirm by Actually Doing Your Own Research. But all the dirty tricks are here. Omitted information. False information. And fallacious inferences. For example, he tries to claim CRISPR is bullshit “ergo” we have never sequenced a virus genome, but apart from the fact that he’s full of it (CRISPR is not bullshit; it has been extensively documented to do what it claims to do, all the way to a Nobel Prize), CRISPR isn’t used to map genomes anyway. This is another one of those lies told by misrepresentation: he is giving the false impression that CRISPR is how we sequence virus genomes; it’s not—so why is he talking about it? Because he wants to deceive you into thinking this. CRISPR was invented in 2011. We have had sequenced virus genomes since 1976. Indeed, the first genome ever sequenced was a virus.
And these lies just go on and on…
- Gober claims we only get fragments. Another lie. We have whole genomes, and for countless viruses (including CoV-2, and CRISPR had nothing to do with it). He claims we haven’t confirmed these genomes are in the envelopes we isolate. Another lie. We have. Visually (e.g. crystallography), and through isolation and correlation studies—and even causal studies linking the genes to the observed structures of the envelopes (i.e. the genes we find explain the observed structures on those envelopes).
- Gober makes false claims about antivirals research (omitting almost all the studies that refute everything he says, and including only studies he can misrepresent as supporting what he says, and not describing any of the science correctly).
- Gober quotes other cranks lying about things like, “[what] I have heard…is that viruses are intracellular ‘parasites’—so, of course, we can’t find them outside the cells,” but we have found them outside of cells (see photographs above, and all studies cited above). So I can guarantee his cited crank never heard that argument from any real virologist. Because no real virologist would need to explain why we haven’t done what in fact we’ve routinely been doing for decades now.
- Gober tries to claim there is “one noteworthy instance” of a real peer reviewed “study” supporting him, but he cites a crank, Stefan Lanka, who never published anything on this under peer review—just a dumb bitchute video of him claiming he ran an improvised experiment that actually has no logical relevance to any of the actual techniques used to isolate viruses and prove they cause disease (everything Gober says to the contrary is false; and for a decisive expert take-down of this see Debunk the Funk with Dr. Wilson). So his “one noteworthy instance” is, in reality, zero instances.
- Gober even repeats the same crank lies about Lanka’s trial in Germany. No, a German court did not rule he’d disproved the existence of the measles virus—it ruled his promised “award” for anyone who could meet his ridiculous and impossible evidentiary standards need not be paid no matter how decisive all the evidence was for the virus. In other words, he got out of having to pay by loophole: like Gober, he did not ask for evidence proving it, he asked for evidence impossible to obtain, and then lied about that, claiming that “therefore” there is no evidence. He claimed that. The court did not.
The Lanka case is one of the best examples of how this is all a scam, and Gober is not a dupe or just a loony but a deliberate manipulator of evidence—a.k.a. a liar. Because he knows what actually happened here. So for him to claim that court “agreed” there was no evidence for viruses is just lying. Of course Lanka is also a liar. There is a ton of decisive evidence refuting him. Like Gober, he just rejects it all because it doesn’t meet his absurd pseudoscientific standards. That’s the definition of a crank. It’s identical to how flat earthers reject all evidence for the Earth not being spherical, or how creationists reject evolution, or climate deniers reject global warming: setting absurd standards rather than accepting conclusive standards. Likewise none of the other court cases Gober cites said or meant or entailed anything he claims. Check them all (on the seventieth page of his PDF). They are all on other, isolated disputes, and don’t provide anything confirming “viruses don’t exist” or “don’t cause disease.” Gober is therefore lying all the way down the line here.
Gober even quotes anti-vaxxer Sam Bailey (wife of the same Mark Bailey) claiming that that German court concluded “the best six papers in the entire measles ‘virus’ literature didn’t follow the scientific method” when in fact the court said exactly the opposite:
“It was proven that the publications submitted by the plaintiff … in their entirety provided evidence of the existence and causative properties of the measles virus and that the determination of the diameter in the form requested by the defendant was successful (and) the result is not objectionable” But the higher court … noted that one of Lanka’s criteria, that the proof be contained in a single scientific paper, rather than multiple papers, had not been met.
That’s right. They let Lanka off on a lame technicality: the virus and its effects were decisively scientifically proved, just not “all in a single paper” (a dumb requirement). So Sam Bailey lies about what the court said, and Gober uses her lie to lie about what the court said. These are fucking liars.
The way Gober uses the 2023 Marvin Haberland case is the same: Haberland set absurd pseudoscientific standards (requiring impossible and irrelevant controls); observes no one meets them; and concludes “therefore” virology “does not use controls” and “has never proved anything.” The non sequitur (“no impossible controls” becomes, illogically, “no controls”) is used in aid of a lie: they do use controls (abundant and proper controls), and their methods are epistemically successful in proving what they claim, to extremely high probabilities. So Gober and Haberland are using tactics of deception here. And they double down on these lies by claiming courts of law have agreed with this. They did not. The Haberland court only ruled he didn’t have to wear a mask on a technicality, without performing even discovery (much less issuing any judgment) on virology. So when Gober et al. say he “disproved” virology in court, they are lying.
Conclusion
So again, you have to keep your eye on the ball: after you unravel all their deceptions, does anything left in all this actually suggest viruses don’t exist or don’t cause disease? No. Moreover, are you tired of this by now? How many more pages of goddamned fucking lies should you waste a minute more of your life reading? None, obviously. Unless you’re paid to.
By the time I got to Gober’s lies about the Haberland case I had about twenty pages yet to go. But by the beautiful blessing of the Dark Gods of Gorp, they are a pinch to dismiss. Because all Gober then does is repeat the same lie about information requests, whereby his cohorts send requests to institutions for things that don’t exist, and then claims nothing exists. Which is lying. Here, again, “no proof meeting impossible standards” becomes “no proof meeting even reasonable standards.” It’s a non sequitur in aid of deception. He is manipulating his readers. And after that is chapter three, wherein nothing relevant is said at all. It just tries a dubious critique of 19th century science. Which has no bearing on 21st century science. Again, does any of this evince viruses don’t exist or don’t cause disease? No. So, we’re done here.
By the end of chapter three Gober has presented no evidence whatsoever that viruses don’t exist or don’t cause disease, and has ignored and left out all the vast evidence we have that they do.
End of line.





I used to think that insanely out of the world conspiracy theories like this one will always remain the beliefs of fringe minorities. However, the current secretary of defence of the superpower of the planet literally said on air that he believes viruses and germs don’t exist because he can’t see them and that’s why he hasn’t washed his hands in 10 years (I know that he said he was joking afterwards, but his facial expressions, body language and the context make me doubt this).
Indeed.
I am coming to the idea that this is a fundamental cognitive bias, the inability to believe what one can’t see. It explains every false belief, from flat earthism climate- and evolution- and even holocaust-denial: it always predicates on the inability of something to be “plainly seen.” It’s therefore like reverting to primate mind, an inference disorder, whereby the ability to infer unseen facts from seen facts is impaired.
Even when they then explain what they can see (all experts disagreeing with them and with reams of evidence) with something they can’t see (a massive and implausible conspiracy theory), that is still using a premise that is in a sense “plainly visible”: they have seen governments, scientists, and politicians lie to them and collude to dishonest ends. One can, after all, point to genuinely documented conspiracies in the expert/official information-space (big tobacco, big oil, big-pharma, or even big-state, like the fake, manufactured reason for the Iraq war and other cover ups, etc.).
But to illustrate what I mean, I do believe that had covid had the lethality rate depicted in the movie Contagion (1 in 4 who catch it, die), the whole anti-mask, anti-vaxx movement would have acted exactly in reverse and supported locking up anyone who wasn’t masked or vaxxed. Because then the threat would be visible (and not only visible through statistics) and thus the threat would become the object of their panic, not “the authorities” telling them something exists that they can’t see.
And I think the reason this disease is spreading now is because of the FOX News paradigm, which was only first brought to mass media by FOX and so I name it thus only for that reason, but they did not invent it, they adopted it. The technique of disinformation campaigns deliberately designed to create distrust of expert/official narratives (and hence of government or science or even history) was invented to further nefarious corporate goals, like Big Tobacco and Big Oil did since the 1960s. Hence now the study of agnatology is a thing.
This plays on existing psychology to manufacture mass public ignorance and mass public insanity. And then the promise of profit or influence or social status lures grifters to join the gravy train and promote this same disinformation campaign, either because they are profiting somehow, or because of Grandiose Disorder or some Gateway Strategy (achieving some other social objective by recruiting “believers”), or to gain accolades or Big Fish, Small Pond status in a vulnerable fringe group (a common product of clinical Narcissism or Grandiose Disorder; Munchausen Syndrome, both simple and by proxy, is a related disorder).
This has explained the Rwanda genocide, where the same disinformation campaign was implemented via a single radio station to manufacture mass anti-tribal hysteria that never existed before, leading all the way to mass murder. The GOP has been using it to cling to power (though it has increasingly gotten away from them and now they are being eaten by their own monster). In all this, there are perps (the liars promoting the madness, whose motives can be highly varied as just noted) and victims (the vast majority of believers and “spreaders” have been driven insane and don’t know their beliefs are false).
The victims, being driven insane, are now (almost) immune to any evidence that would correct them: a problem I wrangle with in Which Is ‘Rational’: Theism or Atheism? and A Primer on Actually Doing Your Own Research.
I actually think it has to do with intuition as the ultimate superset.
After all, flat Earthers can definitely see that the ships disappear bottom-up, they can see that you can see further by going higher. Virus deniers can be shown the virus under the microscope and insist otherwise. You can find ways of visualizing all of these things and they only get at the people at the edge who clearly were only relying on the “I can’t see it” heuristic.
What’s going on is that a category of people who have yet to get the moment of Socratic wisdom that they can be wrong about non-trivial things and have learned that their intuition needs to be checked applied consistently just constantly trust their intuition. Some ideologies even enshrine this: Conservatives rely on folk “wisdom”, “common sense” and “intuition” over expertise and logic (I actually think this idea is not merely incidental but is core to conservatism and should be viewed as a diagnostic pillar, such that one is actually less conservative if one no longer believes this). And, of course, if you’re in a position where you constantly need to perform strength and muscularity, acknowledging nuance, ambiguity and complexity is a bad thing for you and prevents you from just insisting the contrary. The Alt-Right Playbook “Snakes Don’t Come from Chicken Eggs” is a pretty good, succinct description of this.
I was just watching TMM fisking Bertuzzi’s response to Rhett McLaughlin talking to Alex O’Connor. Rhett explained that the key moment in his deconstruction was when he told his wife that he knew evolution was true, to exceedingly high certainty. Rhett then noted that both he and his wife knew what that meant, as they were from YEC backgrounds: Rhett had come to learn that he can be mistaken about something he viewed as core to his belief system, and he actually had to check things.
If one doesn’t even learn that, whether because of a personal contempt for truth, a necessary delusion, etc., one never escapes. And one always offers arguments from intuition and “common sense”. That in turn leads one to become increasingly isolated and combative, because, of course, their intuition isn’t everyone else’s . I explain this to conservatives at length these days, that what I find intuitive now is not what they do. They can say “BUT YOU’VE BEEN PROGRAMMED” all they want, and it still proves my point: Intuition isn’t reliable. But when everyone is just invoking their intuitions, there is no alternative but force, fraud or rhetorical threat.
Of course, anyone who’s an expert in anything shouldn’t need this, but they still often do. If I were ever to talk to Rogan, I’d try to start with asking him about the process of learning martial arts, because every martial artist learns very quickly that your natural instincts for combat are not always good and you need to actually rewrite your muscle memory to be effective, hence all the practice. Only after you’ve done that can you start trusting your intuition, and even then only within a domain, as anyone who trained other martial arts and then went up against BJJ learns.
All good points.
I especially like the martial arts example (it tracks my section on Intuition in Sense and Goodness) and “when everyone is just invoking their intuitions, there is no alternative but force, fraud or rhetorical threat.” As that explains pretty much the entirety of contemporary reactionary conservatism (a.k.a. 99% of MAGA and 85% of Republicans): since reason and evidence no longer matter, force (from censorship to coercion to literally “getting rid of people”) is the only remaining mechanism of persuasion imaginable to them. Which is exactly the opposite intuition that created democracy in the first place: that committing to changing beliefs in response to reason and evidence is the only way to construct a nonviolent (and thus self-destructive) society.
It’s definitely a complex phenomenon and both angles offered by you and Fred can help explain some of its roots.
Fred’s thoughts on this echo a lot of my conclusions about the phenomenon. A few months ago, I told an American work colleague (and friend) this when were discussing the early actions of the Trump administration in a text exchange:
Sometimes, people have ideas that can’t be proven, but turn out to be true. At that time, they might be called cranks and crackpots, but later on the rest of the mainstream people might actually agree with them. Of course, first they destroy them, but then when they are dead, they accept their ideas. I heard a famous scientist said that it takes 50 years for science to accept new ideas because you have to wait for the scientists to die for the next generation to consider the ideas.
If you consider the doctor, Ignaz Semmeweis, who said doctors should wash their hands after touching dead bodies. He tried to prove that doctors were spreading infections to people the best he could at the time, but they didn’t have microscopes then, so he was destroyed by the other doctors at the time. I wonder how you would have discussed him and his work. Would you have called him a crank with the other doctors of his time or would you have agreed with him?
We base our knowledge of the world on our senses, but we might not have every possible sense that exists and our senses are limited. We use technology that is based on our senses to see tiny things and things that are far away, but if we didn’t have sight, we would not really understand the world at all. I think there is more to the world than our senses detect. We can’t see microscopic creatures, but they existed long before microscopes. We can’t see spiritual beings, but they might exist too. Viruses and bacteria existed before microscopes, but if you said they did before that technology was invented, you would be considered crazy.
When it comes to religion and the Bible, you accept what scholars say in their peer-reviewed research, but they are just guessing everything, in my opinion. You think apologists are bad, but everyone is guessing when it comes to the Bible. You just don’t know it because they don’t really tell people the reality of it all.
This is trivially true, which is a problem: it lends itself to “false equivalence” fallacies.
First, in actual fact, the pattern (of paradigmatic resistance to a correct idea taking decades to overcome) is rare.
99% of changes to any expert field’s consensus do not experience this pattern. Most new ideas are adopted quickly. And most of the remaining 1% are milder than you are describing (see my example in Imperial Roman Economics as an Example of an Overthrown Consensus), making the extreme cases quite rare indeed. And even those take less than 50 years to adopt (rejection of the historicity of the Biblical patriarchs took about twenty years to mainstream; Sammeweis’s procedure was mainstreamed even faster than that; and even heliocentrism was mainstreamed in less than fifty years, from Kepler to Galileo, who was not some lone holdout but actually gained widespread support rather quickly, and it was standard science by the time of Newton).
So one cannot assume any “challenge” to a consensus is meritorious. Most are not. That “sometimes” they are doesn’t get you the conclusion. And though it’s true that adoption sometimes needs the old guard to die off, that’s still not common. And thus it becomes more a diagnosis than a prognosis.
Second, the meritorious examples differ from the crank ones precisely in respect to the features I am laying out in this article (and have laid out in others). Thus, we don’t have to “wait around and see” which ones will hold up. We can immediately see which challenges are crank and which not: we just have to look at their rhetoric (is it mostly lies and fallacies and manipulations; or is it well-backed by logic and evidence). Hence my advice in On Evaluating Arguments from Consensus and A Primer on Actually Doing Your Own Research.
So pointing to past examples of fringe claims that turned out to be true generates no useful information here. You still have to check if a new fringe claim is being advanced soundly or if it is being advanced with crank tactics like those documented here. Then you can say whether a consensus is ill-founded and being defended only as a dogma and not because it should stand.
Third, science operates with vastly more data than, say, history. And different sciences work with different qualities of data—hence psychology performs more poorly than virology and physics because it is under-funded and hence its studies under-powered or its questions or data complex and thus it is difficult to get large clear datasets resolving questions in that field. History, far less so.
The consequence of that is that it is easy to build false equivalencies across fields of study. The consensus in history we should expect to be overthrown more often than in virology, because history works with worse data. Moreover, fields can be captured by ideologies. When this is proved (and not just “claimed”) you are in a different situation than otherwise.
For example, the No Virus crowd “claims” a conspiracy to maintain the existence of viruses serves some push for “allopathic” medicine. But there is no evidence of any such conspiracy; allopathic medicine is just legitimately being proved right. By contrast, biblical studies is extremely prone to dogmatism because of the influence (conscious and unconscious, in secret and out in the open) of Christians (affecting even non-Christian scholars), making it unlike, for example, the field of Roman economics, where the dogmatism did not have that scale of pervasive and thorough capture (direct or indirect) of every piece of the academic machine, and thus was easier to overcome.
So we should expect the pattern of resistance to paradigm changes to be more pronounced in biblical studies than in, say, ancient economics—or modern virology. Thus one cannot create a false equivalence of saying “it’s common in bib stud, therefore we should assume it’s common in virology.”
I was curious whose side you would have been on if you had been alive during the time where that doctor was trying to convince other doctors to wash their hands after touching dead bodies. He tried to show that if people washed their hands, the amount of patients who got sick went down a lot. (That is my understanding.) He did not have the technology t explain what was making people sick. He could only show that hand-washing worked for some reason.
The other doctors who were the majority and who destroyed him, did not have any technology showing that what they did was harmless. Both sides were just kind of guessing if hand-washing helped or not. You said his ideas were accepted very quickly, but only after he was destroyed by the other scientists and died. That is not a very good outcome, if you ask me.
I believe that they changed their minds because of Pasteur or someone was able to prove things. I am not sure what he did that convinced them. If you had been alive, would you have considered that doctor to be a crank or not because he did not have proof in any real way.
You write a lot about the Bible, and you do a lot of very meticulous research on any subject you discuss. I am saying that most of what Bible scholars say is not based on any actual proof. It is a whole subject based on opinions and guesses. Even the meanings of words in Hebrew or Greek involve some guessing because not every word is used in every possible way to know for sure what they mean. A crank in Bible scholarship is not as easy to identify because everyone is guessing, in my opinion.
This was already a thing in antiquity. Ancient doctors knew about the possibility of contagion, used washing procedures, even wound sterilization (e.g. with caustics like turpentine). They just didn’t realize how meticulous they had to be. But no one was a skeptic of the ideas involved. Germ theory was proposed without anyone balking. They just never figured out how to prove it, so it remained a hypothesis (including the hypothesis that “microscopic life” was involved).
All this was more or less forgotten in the Middle Ages, and a bunch of crazy nonsense replaced scientific medicine, and then infected what passed for scientific medicine. So by the 19th century arrogance briefly got in the way of progress when the idea was reintroduced and even proved empirically. But the legend has been exaggerated since.
Opposition to handwashing was actually not that extreme or long-lasting, and was actually simultaneously proposed and proved by multiple scientists in the 1840s, so it wasn’t one lone guy doing it. And what opposition there was was based on taking offense at the suggestion that doctors were killing their own patients, which only required one’s ego to get out of the way of realizing and adopting the hygiene procedures ancient doctors already had. Which happened in due course (hand washing became standard advice by the 1860s).
Indeed by the 1850s even ancient germ theory was back in vogue. So Pasteur wasn’t some lone contrarian. He was pursuing what was already a popular line of inquiry. So he didn’t face much serious ideological opposition. Lots of scientists were already working in that direction, and he was building on that fashionable progress. His methods simply adapted methods already being applied; indeed the existence of microrganisms was already established by the time he connected them to disease.
But yes, history works with much worse data than science, and biblical studies faces much worse ideological capture than most fields of history, and so dogmatism and eventually-overturned consensuses are more common in those fields.
Typo ‘diththeria’.
Cheers, an entertaining and illuminating read.
Time indeed for a beer.
Caught and fixed. Thanks!
I am not certain this is on-topic. But I am trying to make sense of Peter Duesberg’s quixotic insistence that AIDS is not caused by HIV.
Duesberg is a virologist, so does not deny viruses, as such, but he seems committed to eliminating any viral cause for anything associated with AIDS, and further insists viruses have no role in cancer. The phenomenon seems similar to a climate scientist insisting CO2 (and CH4) accumulation will not lead to climate catastrophe. They employ transparently fallacious arguments each is well equipped to recognize. It seems even more common among economists, and moreso in theology and politics, where it is the norm. Are these all manifestations of the same phenomenon, or does each case teach us nothing about the rest?
HIV denialism is absolutely cognate of anti-vaxx and virus denialism. Virus denialism or at least minimization, as you rightly note, is omnipresent in HIV denialist circles. The motivations for it include homophobia (they always blame “party drugs”, ignoring that you could trace the infection patterns by sex and not by drugs and that HIV very quickly started spreading out of gay communities and now is all over fucking Africa and plenty of straight women got infected for a variety of reasons), misguided anti-imperialist and anti-corporate and anti-establishment sentiment, ableism, racism, and so forth.
“This may sound a strange question. When scientists make a synthetic virus, do they make it from other viruses that already exist. Or is it totally made from scratch?”
Wouldn’t you first have to prove you have found a virus in Nature? How would you prove it? By showing a photograph from an electron microscope? Would that prove something has been found that causes illness?
How would you prove you have found a submicroscopic biological agent that makes humans or animals sick?
Wouldn’t you first have to show that the sickness appears to transmit from sick people to healthy people?
Wouldn’t you have to conduct a study using a nocebo control group whereby you expose 100 healthy volunteers to one or more persons with the same clinically diagnosed illness to see how many come down with it? And then, if 75% of the people exposed, and 25% of the nocebo group, show the expected symptoms of illness, then it would be time to move onto the task of removing some bodily fluid from a sick person and finding the virus and separating it from all other stuff and giving it to healthy volunteers in the manner closest to what could be called natural-transmission.
No published scientific study about viruses withstands scrutiny. There are no viruses. Bacteria? Yes. And bacteria are janitorial, not predatorial. They are vitally necessary and, usually, needlessly murdered by antibiotics.
Mother Nature did not create creatures who can become contagious.
Mother Nature did not create viruses — entities whose sole purpose is to infect and destroy and DIE WITH THEIR BOOTS ON. Viruses are explicitly described as kamikazes — and Mother Nature has never created any non-human kamikazes. All creatures YEARN to live for as long as possible; but viruses don’t. And that’s unnatural, and therefore as fake as fuck.
Mother Nature did not create injectable so-called medicines. No other creature on earth sees it as a good idea to inject themselves with synthetic chemicals to ward off diseases and illnesses that do not exist outside of their bodies.
Neither God or Mother Nature gave mankind the ability to weaponize microbes. He can claim it all he wants but he’s just doing it to appear scary & powerful like the Wizard of Oz.
This is all tinfoil hat that completely ignores everything documented in the article it is responding to.
Thank you for providing an example for my readers.
This is exactly what I mean about antivaxxers being irrational lunatics not worth the bother of interacting with.
Newport:
Yes, Newport, you actually have to answer the question and not just whine about the electron microscope data you can find if you’re not a liar. Let’s say viruses were merely postulated. How do you explain their consistent, repeatable use? But, yes, you can see viruses under a microscope. https://today.duke.edu/2022/11/watch-virus-moments-right-it-attacks
There are ethical reasons why you can’t expose people too easily. But human challenge trials have been done, repeatedly, and there were plans to do it for COVID. https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC6013893/#:~:text=The%20HVC%20model%20has%20increased,the%20only%20one%20of%20interest. . You’re wrong about fifteen seconds of Google research. Why?
No mention of CRISPR or retroviruses or anything else. Exactly as I called out in my comment. You shift the goalposts to where you erroneously think you can raise the bar while not having to ever defend your alternate theory, which is the only way you can possibly be right. “I DON’T ACCEPT VIRUS THEORY BECAUSE OF SOME ARBITRARY TEST” when you have no alternative is just winging. Virology has all of the evidence presently available behind it. You have nothing. Exactly as we all predicted.
And yet your intellectually dishonest comment has been published, and replied to by Richard. Thus falsifying one of your apparent predictions. But you being provably wrong on Richard’s comment section won’t encourage you to relax one iota on any of your other views. Because you think you are infallible and don’t want to admit you’re incompetent. And that’s the only thing that will ever happen with you, unless something emotionally breaks you from your reverie.
That’s common (there are a lot of nutters on that train). Wikipedia has a whole page on it. Including a whole category page! Even a page dedicated to “the Duesberg hypothesis”.
And yes. These are all instantiations of the same phenomenon.
Duesberg in particular has a long history of crankery that drives him to fanatically challenge anything he thinks those better than him have proved. Which is a sign of mental illness. And he craves accolades that he lacks the actual talent and discipline to earn, which suggests some Big Fish, Little Pond syndrome. One might wonder if any of this has anything to do with his growing up on the Nazi side of WW2 (and neither he nor his family being particularly against it). But who knows.
What I point out to virus deniers is the scope of the wrongness. (Of course, the scope of the wrongness is exactly why they then use delusional elements, but in all these conversations it’s just a clock until you can trigger the delusions anyways).
Let’s imagine an alternate state of the evidence. Imagine that we could see a clear pattern of organism-to-organism infection across macroscopic animals and even bacteria. “Wow”, we might say, “okay, so something that isn’t a fungus and a bacteria acts exactly like that. It’s not a prion but it’s actually kind of similar. It’d basically need to be a super tiny, even more imperceptible thing. It clearly has some kind of infectious machinery, so, like, a bit of DNA or RNA and that’s it? That makes some sense based on what we know from early life”.
That would be a fine place for us to infer virology from. But, in that hypothetical alternate state of the evidence, the virology deniers would have a leg to stand on. They’d still need an actual alternative because that hypothesis as explained would be pretty good, but there’d be room for doubt.
That’s not the state of the evidence. That’s the state of the evidence that they pretend.
It’s not just that we’ve seen viruses.
We fucking use them . We use viruses for genetic operations. Virology denial is like hammer denial at this point.
Viruses are incorporated incredibly well into evolutionary theory and are part of explanations for the genome. To be a virology denier at this point is to begin to be an evolution denier as well.
And, of course, we have anti-viral drugs. How the hell do they work, guys?
It’s the cross-confirmation across numerous disciplines and the repeated use that makes it so sure.
To be analytically more accurate: if that was actually where we and they are, this would not be a debate over whether viruses existed but what they were and how they worked. After all, the most basic definition of virus is “super-tiny symptom-causing not-bacteria stuff spread by physical contagion.”
The Non Virus camp is going much farther than that: they are claiming even the diseases don’t exist.
As in, there is nothing spreading from that Hunan tourist to someone in Seattle and thence across the U.S. (and likewise elsewhere in the world). It’s “just a coincidence” that covid followed that trajectory in the U.S. It’s really caused by cellphones or bad diet or something. That is a position even more insane than you are picturing here.
Oh, snap! That’s a good example I didn’t even think to add. This may be why they are attacking CRISPR (which uses viral engineering to modify DNA). But for the broader picture, readers will want to check out the pages on virotherapy generally, oncolitic virus therapy specifically, and the range of scientific studies and discussions of it (currently Google Scholar returns 22,000 of them).
Oh, I know. What I mean is that virus deniers do the classic bullshit “ANY SYMPTOM YOU SEE IS ACTUALLY BAD NUTRITION OR YOUR CHAKRAS BEING MISALIGNED OR BECAUSE YOU NEED SOME HEXAGONAL WATER OR YOUR PH IS OFF” or whatever other alternative crank excuse they have. Like how HIV cranks say it was party drugs or food or poverty or whatever. So they claim that there is a “disease” in the sense of symptoms caused by something, and the smarter ones can even admit there are unique clusters to some disease presentations (with no explanation or bad ad hoc explanations for why there’s a specific cluster that’s immaculately explained by the attacks on specific cells and systems by infectious disease). Smarter ones can even suggest social contagion as an alternative for actual-old contagion.
So, now, steelmanning a virology denier who isn’t rock-chewingly stupid: In that hypothetical alternate case, inferring a virus from the patterns would be wholly reasonable but disputable, and the virology denier could suggest an alternate cause of the actual symptoms they wouldn’t be denying, and possibly even deliver some gerrymandered hypothesis that wouldn’t be utterly absurd but merely poorly capable of describing the infectious person-to-person nature of the spread.
My point being that, even if we pretend the data is as weak as they do, the mere inference of viruses would actually be better than any of their theories, because it would require suggesting one unknown entity with a high degree of specificity and prior plausibility (viruses) while they need to suggest a host of mechanisms that can lead, say, HIV sufferers in Africa and New York to have the same symptoms, COVID sufferers globally to have the same symptoms, etc. despite the immense range in nutrition, pollutants, environmental exposures, etc.
And, yeah, the use of viruses is comprehensive. That’s single-handedly fatal to them.
It is notable that your purportedly in-depth critique of the “no virus” position relies heavily on addressing arguments from individuals with limited or no formal training in virology or related disciplines. While this may simplify the task of rebuttal, it also introduces a selection bias that undermines the integrity of the critique. There are credentialed professionals—such as Dr. Stefan Lanka and Eleni Papadopulos-Eleopulos—who have raised substantive challenges to foundational assumptions in virology. Their exclusion suggests an intention to construct a rhetorical straw man rather than to engage meaningfully with the most scientifically grounded criticisms. The result gives the impression that your piece functions more as a mechanism of narrative reinforcement than impartial analysis.
Furthermore, considering you were compensated specifically to examine this topic, one would expect at minimum a comprehensive, methodologically rigorous exposition of what constitutes viral isolation under modern virological protocols. Given that this issue sits at the very heart of the dispute, its omission appears to reflect a lack of genuine interest in an earnest exploration of the topic’s scientific core.
You correctly identify the presence of misinformation in this space—but then proceed to conflate it with all dissenting views, rather than distinguish between low-quality discourse and scientifically framed objections. Consequently, your treatment remains largely superficial. You’ve opted to emphasize fringe rhetoric over foundational questions, which ultimately obscures the strongest points of contention.
A scientifically grounded critique of virology would address the two principal assumptions on which the discipline is built:
– The contagion hypothesis – i.e., that disease is spread by pathogenic particles transmissible under natural conditions.
– The virus-specific cytopathic effect (CPE) hypothesis – i.e., that specific morphological changes observed in cell culture are uniquely attributable to viral activity, and therefore serve as a basis for virus detection and isolation.
Both of these hypotheses have been subjected to falsification:
– The contagion hypothesis, under real-world conditions, lacks direct empirical support. My recent meta-review synthesizes over 100 sources showing that natural person-to-person transmission has never been conclusively demonstrated using methodologically sound isolation procedures – https://mathewnorth.substack.com/p/reevaluating-viral-transmission-a
The CPE hypothesis has been shown to suffer from non-specificity; cytopathic changes occur in the absence of any viral material, rendering CPE an unreliable proxy for viral identification – https://mathewnorth.substack.com/p/the-non-specificity-of-cytopathic
You also reference repeatability, which is indeed a central principle in the scientific method. However, your analysis fails to recognize that there are many studies showing the lack of contagion and CPE none specificity, with numerous citations and experimental replications. Dismissing these wholesale without direct engagement with the data and methodology reflects a pre-existing bias rather than a methodical falsification.
Finally, to clarify the implications: if CPE is not virus-specific, and if virus detection methods—including PCR, EM imaging, and genome sequencing—are all ultimately predicated on the validity of the cell culture isolation model, then this foundational uncertainty has systemic ramifications. I’ve elaborated on these cascading effects in my own work, showing how the field’s diagnostic framework rests precariously on an unproven and now challenged assumption – https://mathewnorth.substack.com/p/the-circular-reasoning-in-virology
If the aim is scientific resolution rather than ideological defense, then these issues must be addressed directly and rigorously, not sidestepped.
All these questions have been met in the literature (as abundantly cited in the article here that you are responding to).
When someone just repeats the same arguments that were just thoroughly refuted, as if that refutation never existed, you know they have lost the argument.
It’s all tinfoil hat after that.
Matthew:
We can literally isolate infection down to patient zeros. https://bio.libretexts.org/Bookshelves/Microbiology/Microbiology_(Boundless)/10%3A_Epidemiology/10.03%3A_Disease_Patterns/10.3G%3A__Finding_Patient_Zero_and_Tracking_Diseases . https://pharmaceutical-journal.com/article/feature/finding-patient-zero . So your meta-analysis is apparently as incompetent as a creationist meta-analysis on transitional species represented in the fossil record.
https://today.duke.edu/2022/11/watch-virus-moments-right-it-attacks . And there’s literally footage of virus attacks. People can precisely model down to the specific biochemical pathways. Again, this is creationist-level garbage.
Do you have any response to the reality that we deploy viruses for gene therapy, CRISPR and other uses? What about the immense evidence of retrovirus activity in genetic history matching phylogeny?
How do vaccines work if viruses don’t cause disease? Or are you going to prove you’re basically a flat Earther by denying that vaccines work?
What’s your woobie? Why do you care about this? Because it’s not evidence.
Has anyone challenged you to a debate on camera? Would you accept it?
You seem awfully certain about your position — so it should be a cakewalk, eh?
Before I would bother to debate you on camera, we would first have to settle the issue about Koch’s Postulates: We would have to agree they are relevant and are still the Gold Standard. If we agreed, then we could analyze the Methodology section of ANY virus paper and see if it fulfills any of the postulates.
The postulates are actually flawed for the fact that the first postulate should be the demonstration of transmission >> robust proof that healthy people have been made ill by simple exposure to sick people. If there is no evidence of transmission, then there is no need to utilize cell culturing.
Word has it that you won’t allow any dissenting opinions here, nor will you debate anyone on camera, and that says it all, doesn’t it?
I have done hundreds of debates. But I only do live debates on hire now because they are almost always scams, an exercise in specious rhetoric and manipulation.
But I will do a written debate for much less, even for free, if the opponent is not a rando but has some credentials in argument (they don’t have to be a virologist, for example, but need at least some relevant PhD like philosophy or history, that entails graduate level training in argument and professionalism; and an MD or DD or JD would do, too). Those debates allow time to fact-check liars and defuse manipulative rhetoric. Which is why cranks rarely take me up on that.
But if you find any doctorate with training in argument who is willing to defend the No Viruses position in a written debate here (following the same format as my others: example, example, example), send them my way and we’ll make it happen.
Everything else is bluster and bullshit.
“Philosopher”:
Your comment is here listed, even as rude as it is.
So “the word” was a lie, wasn’t it, pal? Gee, what a surprise: your data sucks and you believe demonstrably false things.
You can verify that people get sick around sick people yourself in everyday life if you want to. That’s how we had miasm theory before modern infectious disease understanding. As I pointed out above, this is at the same level as a creationist insisting there are no transitional fossils.
Richard wrote:
We don’t give these fuckers the time of day any more?
Except of course when you do — except of course when you do give them the time of day any more.
It is, after all, as you say above, worth what you’re being paid, I guess. Though only just.
Yes?
No?
It was in any case an exceptionally emotional plea you made. One must have a heart of stone to read it without laughing.
Because I was paid to. As explained in the text.
You must not be scoring well on reading comprehension tests.
Richard wrote: “Because I was paid to. As explained in the text.”
Yes, I know. In fact, I’m the one who told you that. In fact, I quoted your words verbatim.
In fact, it’s the whole reason THAT I quoted your words verbatim — your extraordinarily emotional appeal, I mean, your wrenching, heartfelt aside, which, as I say, one must have a heart of stone to read without laughing.
In fact, I finished by quoting verbatim what you’ve just described to me in your reply as “the text” — i.e. what you wrote in your mercenary article:
“This is why we don’t give these fuckers the time of day anymore”
You can go back and reread my comment. But I caution you: you might need to read it very slowly since the direct implication of what you’re admitting is my whole point, which you missed.
I’m beginning to think you must not be scoring well on reading comprehension tests.
And I’ve long known that you’re scoring even less well on writing comprehensibility tests, and your logical fallacies 101 tests are stuff of expulsions.
Here, for the record, is what you should have said when, in crying us a river in an embarrassingly overwrought fashion, not at all appropriate for your subject-matter here — upon which subject-matter, just incidentally, I agree with you: virus do exist:
I must pause to emotionally vent for a moment. Forgive me. But this scale of deception is disgusting. This shit fucking pisses me off. And it is why I despise doing this. I am now wasting days of my life dealing with his bullshit. It’s barely worth what I’m being paid. And this is why we don’t give these fuckers the time of day anymore: it always turns out like this. And I’m sick of it.
“I must pause to emotionally vent for a moment — ‘must,’ I say, because emotive language is a logical fallacy of which I’m inexpressibly fond. It may even be my very favorite fallacy to employ — and that’s saying a great deal indeed. Forgive me. [No, Richard, I’m afraid that’s too easy: you’re not forgiven such sophomoric obviousness just by adding in those two words.] I am now wasting days of my life dealing with his bullshit. It’s barely worth what I’m being paid — but it is worth it because I’m so unimaginative that I must compromise my principles just to make a buck. How else is a fellow supposed to make a living except by wasting days of his life doing things he despises? How else could I possibly make ends meet except by dealing with this bullshit I despise. I have no other option. I must be a slave to this money. I’m so unimaginative that I can think of no other possible way. So now I have to ‘waste days of my life dealing with this bullshit,’ and you, reader, have to wade through yet another river I’m crying because I’m an inveterate slave to the money, and because I lack the creative imagination to think of a better way to make a go of it than to deal with things I despise. My life sucks. I just wish I could come up with a better way to earn a good living which doesn’t require wasting days of my life, which is essentially the same thing as me selling my soul. I’m selling my soul to things I despise. Forgive me. It’s not me. It’s my circumstances. And this is why we don’t give these fuckers the time of day anymore — except, of course, when we do, as I’ve just done, and that’s we need money, when we get paid. Now get me paid, bitch! I’m infuriated. So even though I must pause here to emotionally vent on you, reader, with my fatuous and conspicuously fallacious aside, and even though I require your forgiveness in doing so, know this: I HAVE to give these fuckers the time of day because I get paid. And something more: you should be too, if you’re getting paid. Principles don’t matter if you’re getting paid. But other than that, we should not be giving these fuckers the time of day any more.”
It’s as clear as gin, Richard. (And you and I do know each other, as I’m sure you’ve already figured out, perspicacious fellow that you are, and so you of course know also that, among other things, I’m not a religious lady. I’m also fully aware of your … what would you call them? Methods, I guess). It’s as clear as gin, I repeat: money trumps your convictions. But we already knew that.
If you have difficulty comprehending that — and I know you will — just keep rereading it, but slower each time.
P.S. In your overwrought aside — just (re)quoted above — and throughout the entirety of this prolix article you’ve written here purely for money, you divagate far too frequently from the facts at issue and replace these facts with a eye-popping, jaw-dropping, heart-stopping minefield of loaded terminology, thought-stopping cliches, bumper-sticker logic, emotive language. This sort of thing, as you know — or, at any rate, as you once knew — is a sure sign of a precarious amateurishness. In addition to which, the style of ad hominem you somewhere along the line adopted and now cling to like a hatchet is matched only by your solecisms. Your patron should demand her or his money back immediately and in full.
I don’t see any relevant remark in there.
Can you identify any factual error in my article?
If not, we’re done here.
Morgan:
Ah, so you are dishonest as fuck, then.
Richard could be a billionaire or a pauper. If he agrees to do something that someone else found valuable (and I appreciate having this to link people to because it also succinctly answers a bunch of bullshit anti-vaxxer stuff), it’s noble that he did it. And expressing moral contempt at this dishonesty is wholly appropriate.
“Mercenary article”? Fuck off.
Indeed.
There are people whose job it is to investigate things for a client and report what they found.
Complaining about that is like complaining that firemen exist. Or journalists. Or historians. Or scientists.
Yeah, I had the same reaction: a sympathetic laugh and an appreciation that it was set aside from the voice of the text, but still amplifying it.